Wednesday, September 16, 2009

By-Election Madness

With a federal election off the table for the moment thanks to "socialists and separatists," we can turn our attentions to a couple of provincial by-elections. In Alberta, there was a shocker in Calgary. The Wild Rose Alliance (they make Harper look centrist) has won the riding from, well, the Tories. Calgary Grit has excellent analysis and some prognostications. I tend to agree with Dan on the possibility, however unlikely, of the Wild Rose Alliance forming the next government in Alberta. The ALP's track record of failure is not inspiring and Alberta tends to go right when they do change political preference. However, Alberta being Alberta, the most likely scenario is PC government from now until the end of time. If you want to talk electoral reform, the place to talk about it is in Alberta.

In Ontario, St. Paul's will be up for grabs tomorrow. I still think Dr. Hoskins will prevail. That said, between Michael Bryant's legal trouble, the HST and general by-election madness, you never know.

1 comment:

CanadianSense said...

Have you looked at other algorithms for projection?

http://www.democraticspace.com/canada2009/

Has very differnt numbers. Yours are also different than Eric at 308.

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