Thursday, November 12, 2009

Post-By-Election Projection Update

It's still a little slow on the polling front which is unfortunate as it leaves fewer polls in my rolling aggregate for the second week in a row. However, it's as good a snapshot as anything else. The by-election results have been included in the model for whatever they are worth. It doesn't give the Tories Riviere du Loup but it gets them a heck of a lot closer.

National Picture

CPC 146
LPC 78
BQ 51
NDP 33

Province by Province:

BC: CPC 21, NDP 10, LPC 5
AB: CPC 28
SK: CPC 13, LPC 1
MB: CPC 10, NDP 3, LPC 1
North: CPC 1, LPC 1, NDP 1
ON: CPC 53, LPC 38, NDP 15
QC: BQ 51, LPC 15, CPC 9
NB: CPC 6, LPC 3, NDP 1
NS: LPC 5, CPC 4, NDP 2
NL: LPC 5, CPC 1, NDP 1

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