The Return of.... Seat Projections!

Very exciting news boys and girls. I have resurrected my seat projections! If the election were called today, All Politics is Local projects: yet another Tory minority! The numbers for your interest:

	CPC	LPC	NDP	BQ	IND
National	147	83	35	42	1
NL	0	6	1	0	0
PE	0	4	0	0	0
NS	4	5	2	0	0
NB	6	3	1	0	0
QC	13	18	2	42	1
ON	52	39	15	0	0
MB	9	1	4	0	0
SK	13	1	0	0	0
AB	28	0	0	0	0
BC	22	5	9	0	0
North	1	1	1	0	0

I haven't run one of these in a while and frankly I think the data may be a spitting out a screwy result. The NDP surge in Quebec worries me, in terms of my accuracy. My model is better suited to slight shifts, not giant surges. Right now, my model is saying the NDP surge will come at the expense of the Bloc and might actually help the other two federalist parties. Could happen. The vote splits in Quebec will be fascinating come election night.